Momentum investing is all about the idea of following a stock’s recent trend, which can be in either direction. In the ‘long’ context, investors will essentially be “buying high, but hoping to sell even higher.” And for investors following this methodology, taking advantage of trends in a stock’s price is key; once a stock establishes a course, it is more than likely to continue moving in that direction. The goal is that once a stock heads down a fixed path, it will lead to timely and profitable trades.
While many investors like to look for momentum in stocks, this can be very tough to define. There is a lot of debate surrounding which metrics are the best to focus on and which are poor quality indicators of future performance. The Zacks Momentum Style Score, part of the
Zacks Style Scores
, helps address this issue for us.
Below, we take a look at
Taseko Mines (TGB)
, which currently has a Momentum Style Score of B. We also discuss some of the main drivers of the Momentum Style Score, like price change and earnings estimate revisions.
It’s also important to note that Style Scores work as a complement to the Zacks Rank, our stock rating system that has an impressive track record of outperformance. Taseko Mines currently has a Zacks Rank of #2 (Buy). Our research shows that stocks rated Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) and #2 (Buy) and Style Scores of A or B outperform the market over the following one-month period.
You can see the current list of
Zacks #1 Rank Stocks here >>>
Set to Beat the Market?
In order to see if TGB is a promising momentum pick, let’s examine some Momentum Style elements to see if this metals mining company holds up.
A good momentum benchmark for a stock is to look at its short-term price activity, as this can reflect both current interest and if buyers or sellers currently have the upper hand. It’s also helpful to compare a security to its industry; this can show investors the best companies in a particular area.
For TGB, shares are up 3.32% over the past week while the Zacks Mining – Miscellaneous industry is down 0.48% over the same time period. Shares are looking quite well from a longer time frame too, as the monthly price change of 11.8% compares favorably with the industry’s 3.77% performance as well.
While any stock can see a spike in price, it takes a real winner to consistently outperform the market. Shares of Taseko Mines have increased 22.47% over the past quarter, and have gained 111.65% in the last year. In comparison, the S&P 500 has only moved 6.41% and 35.5%, respectively.
Investors should also pay attention to TGB’s average 20-day trading volume. Volume is a useful item in many ways, and the 20-day average establishes a good price-to-volume baseline; a rising stock with above average volume is generally a bullish sign, whereas a declining stock on above average volume is typically bearish. TGB is currently averaging 1,783,589 shares for the last 20 days.
Earnings Outlook
The Zacks Momentum Style Score encompasses many things, including estimate revisions and a stock’s price movement. Investors should note that earnings estimates are also significant to the Zacks Rank, and a nice path here can be promising. We have recently been noticing this with TGB.
Over the past two months, 2 earnings estimates moved higher compared to none lower for the full year. These revisions helped boost TGB’s consensus estimate, increasing from $0.16 to $0.18 in the past 60 days. Looking at the next fiscal year, 2 estimates have moved upwards while there have been no downward revisions in the same time period.
Bottom Line
Taking into account all of these elements, it should come as no surprise that TGB is a #2 (Buy) stock with a Momentum Score of B. If you’ve been searching for a fresh pick that’s set to rise in the near-term, make sure to keep Taseko Mines on your short list.
Bitcoin, Like the Internet Itself, Could Change Everything
Blockchain and cryptocurrency has sparked one of the most exciting discussion topics of a generation. Some call it the “Internet of Money” and predict it could change the way money works forever. If true, it could do to banks what Netflix did to Blockbuster and Amazon did to Sears. Experts agree we’re still in the early stages of this technology, and as it grows, it will create several investing opportunities.
Zacks’ has just revealed 3 companies that can help investors capitalize on the explosive profit potential of Bitcoin and the other cryptocurrencies with significantly less volatility than buying them directly.
See 3 crypto-related stocks now >>
Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days.
Click to get this free report